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'Battery of Asia': Laos's controversial hydro ambitions
by Staff Writers
Bangkok (AFP) July 25, 2018

Dead cows, destroyed homes: Laos villages ravaged by dam collapse
Hoi Kong, Laos (AFP) July 26, 2018 - The bloated carcasses of pigs and cows float in the knee-high flood waters covering the Laos village of Hoi Kong, as mud-caked residents pick through the remnants of homes destroyed by a dam collapse that they had little time to flee.

Monday night's dam break inflicted an unprecedented catastrophe on Laos, a poor country with little capacity to manage remote, large-scale rescue operations.

Twenty-seven people are confirmed dead, with 131 still missing, after the Xe-Namnoy dam broke, sending a wall of water rushing across a large swathe of southern Laos.

Details of the damage have trickled out slowly in a country whose Communist authorities tightly control information and do not welcome media attention.

But with the waters receding, the scale of the disaster is revealing itself.

Residents in Hoi Kong returned to their flooded homes on Thursday, wading past vehicles pushed onto their sides by rushing water, with thick red mud caking everything they once owned.

"The people are in very bad condition," a Vietnamese military doctor helping with the relief effort told AFP, requesting anonymity.

"Really I don't know how they will overcome this devastation. They have lost everything."

In crowded shelters across Attapeu province, survivors have recounted the terrifying moment water cascaded through their villages, saying they were given little warning of the impending disaster.

It was Monday evening and many of those forewarned had only been given a few hours to evacuate.

Others were told nothing, scrambling in the darkness to rooftops, trees, or escaping via boats to dry land. Many fled into the mountains seeking higher ground.

- Little warning -

"No one warned us," said Poosa Duangapai from a makeshift shelter in a kindergarten where the displaced lay on mats.

"Only those who saw the water coming shouted to us. I have only one sarong, one blouse and another piece of cloth with me."

A Vietnamese man living in the area said a loudspeaker warned his Ban Mai village that water would be discharged from the dam, just two hours before it totally collapsed.

"From 9:00 pm to 2:00 am, the water rose very quickly. We ran to a house behind ours, the water came to the second floor, the third floor... then we were all on the roof," Tran Van Bien, 47, told AFP.

"I saw some people floating, but I couldn't do anything. Some of them survived, but some must have died."

Monday's disaster has raised serious questions about the wisdom of poor but resource-rich Laos' aim to become the "battery of Asia" with dozens of dams built or planned across the country's vast river network.

Hundreds of villages have been relocated, many repeatedly, to make way for hydropower projects whose electricity is sold to neighbouring countries.

But Laotians cannot protest, and environmental groups are barred from the construction sites -- almost all of which are contracted out to foreign companies from China, Vietnam, Thailand and South Korea.

Some are now questioning whether poor design may be to blame for the accident in an area routinely drenched with monsoon rains.

The dam was an 'earth-filled' structure, made with a mixture of materials that are often less expensive than stronger concrete blocks, said Lihai Zhang, from University of Melbourne's Department of Infrastructure Engineering.

"Maybe human underestimation, plus extreme circumstances -- which means heavy rain continuously for several days -- putting these two things together may result in the collapse," he told AFP.

One of the Korean companies who ran the dam said it was too early to say what caused the accident, noting that rainfall last week was higher than normal.

Mountainous and landlocked Laos, known as the "Battery of Asia", is building dozens of dams at breakneck speed so it can sell energy to power-hungry neighbours as a fast track out of poverty.

But the communist country's ambitious power plans are highly controversial.

Most energy is exported to neighbouring countries Vietnam, Cambodia and China, with the lion's share going to Thailand -- whose Bangkok mega-malls alone suck up huge amounts of power.

That leaves local communities with little of the revenue from projects that often require compulsory resettlement of hundreds of villages and reshape the landscape and river systems.

The dam collapse this week in southern Laos that left at least 26 dead and scores missing has shed light on the perils of the country's big bet on hydropower.

Here are a few key questions:

Why so many dams?

With a vast river system, mineral-rich mines and a population of just six million, Laos is richer in natural resources than manpower.

As revenues from timber exports and gold and copper mines have tailed off, the country -- and foreign investors -- have ploughed billions of dollars into hydropower development, billed as a clean source of energy to electrify Laos and supply its power-hungry neighbours.

There are currently 46 operating hydropower plants with a capacity of 6,400 MW, with another 54 under construction and set to go online by 2020, according to the Laos News Agency.

If all goes to plan, Laos wants to generate a whopping 28,000 MW of power in just two years -- almost enough to power all of Thailand for a year.

It has targeted graduating from a lower-middle income country by 2020, according to its World Bank classification, and raise its annual per capita GDP from $2,457 today.

Where does the power go?

About 85 percent of all energy generated in Laos is exported, mostly to Thailand where two-thirds of it is sucked up in and around the sweaty capital Bangkok, according to the International Energy Agency.

Almost 90 percent of Laos has access to electricity but supply can be patchy, especially in rural areas.

"Even if it could be enough... to power all the homes, it doesn't reach all the homes, so there is a gap there at the very least in terms of access," said Vanessa Lamb, geography lecturer at the University of Melbourne.

So who's making the money?

Laos's government is earning revenues by selling power to its neighbours. Although figures are not public, the World Bank says investments in the sector are not on par with how much goes towards the national budget.

The real rewards may still be decades away.

Many contracts stipulate that hydro plants -- often built and operated by foreign firms, including those from China or Thailand -- will be handed over to the Laos government in 20 or 30 years, according to Keith Barney, a lecturer at the Australian National University's College of Asia and the Pacific.

"Although there's been a lot of dam construction, the actual royalties and budget revenues -- which are opaque -- have not been that lucrative so far," he told AFP.

"They're coming down the line as these projects move toward their mature phases."

Do local communities benefit?

Most agree that so far, revenues have yet to trickle down to village level.

Unlike in some other countries, residents are not paid a percentage of the money earned from exporting power and may suffer from hydropower projects.

Villagers are routinely resettled to make way for plants and dams, and farmers have complained that diverting river water destroys farmland, while damming rivers interrupts fish flows.

An April report from the Mekong River Commission predicted that up to 40 percent of fish species in the Mekong River basin could be disrupted by dam-building in the region, a warning echoed by others.

"Poor people in the project areas are worse off because of these dams, not better off," said Ian Baird, assistant professor of geography at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

"People aren't being properly compensated and then when the revenue comes in it's not getting back to those people," he told AFP.


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WATER WORLD
Hydropower in Cambodia could threaten food security of region
Urbana IL (SPX) Jun 01, 2018
Farmers and anglers in Cambodia depend on the Mekong River's predictable seasonal patterns, but new dams for hydroelectricity are altering the hydrology of the river. These changes have the potential to threaten fish migration, livelihoods, and regional food security. A new paper from the University of Illinois and Iowa State University urges a participatory approach for managing the Mekong River basin that engages local residents who have deep knowledge of the river. This local knowledge, combine ... read more

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