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POLITICAL ECONOMY
China risks public backlash over EU bailout
by Staff Writers
Shanghai (AFP) Oct 30, 2011

EU debt problems to last two or three years: Regling
Beijing (AFP) Oct 29, 2011 - The head of the European bailout fund Klaus Regling said Saturday he expects the eurozone's economic problems will last two to three years, and long-term issues will remain.

Regling's remarks suggest Europe still faces a long road to recovery from its sovereign-debt crisis, even after a summit of European Union leaders this week set a new course to address the debacle, Dow Jones Newswires reported.

"I think the European problems will be well-tackled and overcome over the next two to three years," Dow Jones quoted Regling as saying during a talk at Beijing's Tsinghua University.

"But it does not mean that all problems in this world will have disappeared," the chief executive of the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) said.

Longer-term challenges include: a "big structure shift in financial markets" caused by the damaged appeal of sovereign debt among investors, and boosting competitiveness in some countries, Regling said.

"Sovereign debt, which for decades or centuries were the predominant risk-free asset, may be losing that status, not only in Europe but also in other countries," he said.

Regling arrived in China a day after EU leaders announced measures including quadrupling the firepower of the fund to one trillion euros ($1.4 trillion) from 440 billion euros.

He said he was in China to "listen to potential investors" and "get their views" on the EU effort, calling the Friday talks "productive" and "friendly."

On Friday, China said it would seek more clarity before investing in the bailout fund, dampening expectations that the world's second-largest economy was prepared to help Europe overcome the crisis.

Expectations for a strong commitment from Beijing had been high ahead of Regling's visit, with the Financial Times quoting a source saying China could inject more than $100 billion (70.5 billion euros).

But publicly, Beijing has been noncommittal and Chinese state media said Europe must take responsibility for the crisis and not rely on "good Samaritans" to save the continent from its fiscal woes.


Europe has set its sights on Beijing as it tries to haul itself out of a debt crisis, but many Chinese people are asking why they should bail out wealthier nations that have lived beyond their means.

With $3.2 trillion in foreign exchange reserves and an economy that depends heavily on exports to the European Union and the United States, China has both the means and the motive to help Europe in its hour of need.

But as China's own economic growth begins to slow and inflation remains persistently high with surging prices for food and housing, there are fears a major investment in Europe's bailout fund could trigger a domestic backlash.

Already, opposition to such a move is being expressed online on China's hugely popular weibos -- microblogging sites similar to Twitter that now have more than 200 million users -- and in some state media.

"Europe is much richer than China. How can they be short of money? This is clearly a fraud, a robbery," said weibo user Song Hongbing.

Michael Pettis, a professor of finance at Peking University, said the opposition gave China's leaders cause for concern as they consider whether to stump up the large sums of cash Europe needs.

"It's going to be perceived that China is bailing out a bunch of rich foreigners, and politically that's never a popular move," said Pettis, who is also a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Klaus Regling, the head of the European bailout fund, held talks with China's commerce ministry and central bank in Beijing on Friday -- a day after European leaders reached a last-ditch deal to tackle the crisis.

The chief executive of the European Financial Stability Facility was reportedly aiming to coax another $100 billion out of China, already a major holder of EFSF bonds, but Beijing has so far been non-committal about further investment.

Details of the form any investment might take remain sketchy, and Vice Finance Minister Zhu Guangyao said on Friday that Beijing needed more clarity before it could agree to invest.

China has been burned before on risky overseas investment. It bought stakes in investment bank Morgan Stanley and asset management firm Blackstone only to see values collapse in the 2008 global financial crisis.

The losses led to severe criticism of the investment choices made by China's sovereign wealth fund, only a year after it was established.

"There was a lot of domestic criticism for that, so I think they're sensitive to do it again," Pettis said.

The state-controlled Global Times newspaper, known for its stridently nationalist stance, said Beijing should require concessions in return for cash, such as further market opening for Chinese products and investment.

"A developed Europe turns to China for cash... Many can't understand why China should extend a helping hand," the newspaper said in an editorial on Friday.

Analysts say Beijing may expect Europe to muzzle criticism of its yuan currency, which major trading partners have blasted as undervalued, claiming China's exports enjoy an unfair advantage.

Rescuing developed European countries is a hard sell for the Communist leaders of a country that is still trying to lift tens of millions of people out of grinding poverty.

The world's second-largest economy may not be a democracy, but its leaders cannot ignore its people -- especially now that the Internet has given them a forum to express their anger.

"When will you rescue your own people, feed children in rural areas, find jobs for countless unemployed university graduates, and let the struggling masses afford homes?" posted one of China's more than 500 million Internet users under the name Post-90s Voice.

Europe wants outside help to quadruple the EFSF to one trillion euros ($1.4 trillion), possibly via a special purpose investment vehicle or the International Monetary Fund, where China's influence has grown under recent reforms.

But independent economist Andy Xie, former chief economist for Morgan Stanley, said he expects any Chinese contribution to be "token".

"One cannot give money away in a potential bankrupt situation without influence over restructuring," he said. "China has no control over Europe. How can one throw away money like that?"

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US, China discuss financial recovery
Washington (AFP) Oct 29, 2011 - US and Chinese diplomats discussed ways the world's top two economies could promote balanced growth and a recovery from the global financial recession, the State Department said Saturday.

During a Thursday-Saturday visit in Beijing with senior Chinese officials, US Deputy Secretary of State William Burns also discussed the countries' priorities for major upcoming international meetings, including the G20 Summit next week, and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum and East Asia Summit in November.

Burns "underscored the importance of efforts by both the United States and China to promote global economic recovery and balanced growth, and to enhance security, stability and growth in Asia," the State Department said.

The US and Chinese diplomats also "discussed ways in which the two countries can work together" on regional and international challenges in places like Afghanistan, North Korea, Iran and the Middle East.

Burns discussed human rights and land disputes between China and rival Taiwan on the South China Sea, according to the statement.

China claims all of the South China Sea, including hundreds of Spratly islands and reefs. Taiwan, Vietnam, Brunei, China, Malaysia and the Philippines claim all or part of the Spratlys, which could lie on top of large oil reserves.

Washington has recently expressed concerns that rival claimants to the disputed islands are building up their arms.

Senior officials have also showed disapproval over the human rights situation in China, after Beijing launched one of its biggest crackdown on dissent in years in response to the wave of pro-democracy uprisings in the Middle East and North Africa.

Burns and the Chinese diplomats "agreed on the importance to our two countries of maintaining positive bilateral relations, while also addressing ways in which the United States and China could build strategic trust and avoid misunderstandings and misperceptions," the statement read.

National Security Council Senior Director for Asian Affairs Daniel Russel and Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for East Asian Affairs Kin Moy joined Burns for the talks.

Burns met with Chinese State Councilor Dai Bingguo, Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi, the Communist Party's international department chief Wang Jiarui, Vice Foreign Minister Zhang Zhijun, Vice Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai and Ma Xiaotian, deputy chief of general staff, the statement read.



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