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OIL AND GAS
Gas prices could keep falling, AAA says
by Daniel J. Graeber
Washington (UPI) Aug 6, 2015


Oil prices rise on strong U.S. data
New York (UPI) Aug 5, 2015 - Continued improvement in the U.S. labor market and industry investment commitments pushed crude oil prices toward positive territory in early Wednesday trading.

West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, gained eight-tenths of a percent by the opening bell to trade at $46.13 per barrel. Brent crude oil prices rallied a full percentage point to $50.52 per barrel for a second straight day of gains.

Crude oil prices are trading well below June 2014 levels as supply far outweighs demand. The American Petroleum Institute published data Tuesday showing U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories declined last week in a sign demand was growing in the U.S. market.

Payroll processor ADP said private sector employment in July increased by 185,000 from the previous month. Mark Zandi, chief economist of Moody's Analytics, said in a statement that overall job growth has moderated so far this year.

"Layoffs in the energy industry and weaker job gains in manufacturing are behind the slowdown," he said. "Nonetheless, even at this slower pace of growth, the labor market is fast approaching full employment."

The U.S. Commerce Department last week said gross domestic product grew at 2.3 percent annually on the back of increased consumer spending, which offset weakness in spending from businesses. First quarter GDP was revised to show 0.6 percent growth after previous reports showed a 0.2 percent downturn.

Crude oil prices are coming off their worst July in years and Wednesday's prices are still more than 50 percent below mid-2014 levels. The slump has forced several companies to trim spending and cut staffing levels.

This week, U.S. shale company Pioneer Natural Resources said it planned more work in its Texas assets while BP said Wednesday it was investing heavily in the North Sea.

The national average retail price for a gallon of gasoline is falling quickly, a trend expected to continue for the remainder of the year, motor club AAA said.

AAA reports a national average price for a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline at $2.62 for Thursday, about 5 cents less than one week ago and more than 10 cents less than this date in July.

The motor club said in a mid-week gauge of the retail gasoline market the price at the pump has dropped at its fastest rate since January because of continued weakness in the crude oil market and improved refinery operations.

As of Thursday, the national average price for gas has dropped 17 straight days.

"It feels good to see gas prices drop during the middle of the busy summer driving season," AAA spokesman Avery Ash said in a statement. "Millions of people are hitting the roads right now and these gas savings should make their trips more affordable."

The motor club notes, however, that low fuel costs have translated to higher demand, up 6 percent in July from last year. High demand could crimp supplies, which could arrest some of the declines in gasoline prices.

Nevertheless, AAA said it expected gasoline prices will drop another 15 cents per gallon in the short-term nationally. If crude oil prices collapse further, drivers will reap the benefits as every $12 drop in crude oil prices translates to a 29 cent drop in gasoline prices.

Brent crude oil traded at $49.55 early Thursday, down about $14 since the start of July.

"The recent price declines are hopefully just a precursor of much bigger savings to come at the pump," Ash said. "We could see many parts of the country make another run towards $2 per gallon by the end of the year if everything keeps running smoothly."


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