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THE STANS
Israel sees benefits in independent Kurdistan: experts
By Jonah Mandel
Jerusalem (AFP) Sept 19, 2017


Erdogan demands Iraqi Kurds call off referendum
United Nations, United States (AFP) Sept 19 - Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Tuesday demanded that Iraqi Kurds call off a referendum on independence, hinting at consequences if they go ahead.

"Steps such as demands for independence that can cause new crises and conflicts in the region must be avoided. We hereby call on the Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government to abort the initiative they have launched in that direction," Erdogan said in a speech to the UN General Assembly.

"Ignoring the clear and determined stance of Turkey on this matter may lead to a process that shall deprive the Iraqi Kurdish Regional Government of even the opportunities it currently enjoys."

Turkey, which has already warned against the vote, has its own long-running conflict with separatists among its sizable Kurdish minority and has also vowed to quash any Kurdish state from emerging in war-torn Syria.

In a likely unstated warning, Turkey on Monday launched a military drill with 100 vehicles including tanks on the Iraqi border.

Iraqi Kurds will vote on September 25 in the non-binding referendum on whether to declare independence in a region that has already been autonomous since the aftermath of the 1991 Gulf War.

Virtually all countries including the United States and Iran oppose the referendum -- with the exception of Israel, which sees a possible opening in a hostile region.

Erdogan, whose relations with Europe have become increasingly tense over his human rights record, repeated his criticism that the European Union has not fulfilled its part of a migration deal.

Under the agreement last year, the European Union agreed to three billion euros ($3.6 billion) of support for refugees, mostly fleeing war-torn Syria, to stay in Turkey.

Erdogan said the EU had sent only 820 million euros of the package, which does not go directly into Turkish government coffers.

"Before the whole world, I hereby call on the countries and the international organizations, which have put all the burden of the 3.2 million people on Turkey's shoulders, to fulfill the promises they have made," Erdogan said.

Iraq PM rejects any Kurdish independence referendum
Baghdad (AFP) Sept 19 - Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi on Tuesday said he rejected any type of referendum on independence for the northern autonomous region of Iraqi Kurdistan.

"The referendum is rejected, whether today or in the future, in the Kurdistan region within the 2003 borders or in the disputed areas," he told journalists.

Iraqi Kurdish leader Massud Barzani has announced an independence referendum for September 25 in oil-rich Iraqi Kurdistan, and the provincial council in the neighbouring province of Kirkuk has said it will also take part.

Beyond the three provinces that have made up Iraqi Kurdistan since the fall of Saddam Hussein after a US-led invasion, Iraq's Kurds have also claimed territory in Kirkuk, as well as the Nineveh and Diyala provinces.

Abadi also hinted at a possible military intervention in Kirkuk, which is home to diverse communities including Arabs and Turkmen who oppose the vote.

"If a Kirkuk citizen is exposed to danger, it's our legitimate duty to impose security," he said.

On Monday, Iraq's supreme court ordered the suspension of the referendum to examine claims it was unconstitutional.

Abadi's office said it had filed a complaint against the referendum, after parliament in Baghdad voted twice against it.

Barzani has said a "yes" vote would not trigger an immediate declaration of independence, but rather kick-start "serious discussions" with Baghdad.

Analysts say Barzani is using the referendum as leverage in his Kurdish Regional Government's long-standing disputes with the federal authorities in Baghdad over territory and oil exports.

Israel has become the only country to openly support an independent Kurdish state, a result of good ties between Kurds and Jews and expectations it would be a front against Iran and extremism, experts say.

Iraq's Kurdish region plans to hold a non-binding referendum on statehood on September 25 despite the objections of Baghdad and neighbouring Iran and Turkey, as well as the United States.

On Monday, Iraq's supreme court ordered the suspension of the referendum as legal and political pressure mounted on the Kurds to call off the vote.

Israel became the first and so far only country to openly voice support for "the legitimate efforts of the Kurdish people to attain a state of its own," as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said last week, without specifying where and how.

Netanyahu's statement came after remarks made earlier in the month by former general Yair Golan, who said he liked the "idea of independent Kurdistan".

"Basically, looking at Iran in the east, looking at the instability (in) the region, a solid, stable, cohesive Kurdish entity in the midst of this quagmire -- it's not a bad idea," Golan said at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.

He also noted Israel's "good cooperation with the Kurd people since the early 1960s".

To Gideon Saar, a former Israeli minister, the Kurds are a minority group in the Middle East that, unlike the Jews, have yet to achieve statehood.

"The Kurds have been and will continue to be reliable and long-term allies of Israel since they are, like us, a minority group in the region," he said.

"We need to encourage independence of minorities that were wronged by regional arrangements since Sykes-Picot over the past 100 years and have been repressed under authoritarian regimes, like Saddam Hussein's in Iraq and the Assads in Syria," Saar said.

The Sykes-Picot agreement was a World War I-era deal between Britain and France laying out boundaries in the Middle East.

Saar too noted Kurdistan's efforts in pushing back Islamist forces.

"Looking at the Kurds' location on a map you realise they can be a dam blocking the spread of radical Islam in the region, and in practise we've seen them exclusively fighting IS," he said.

"Throughout the years the Kurds were never drawn to anti-Israeli or anti-Zionist perceptions and maintained good ties with the Jewish people and Israel."

- 'Buffer against extremism' -

Ofra Bengio, who heads a Kurdish studies programme at Tel Aviv University, noted that Israel supplied covert military, intelligence and humanitarian aid to Kurdistan in the years 1965-1975.

When Jews living in Iraqi cities were subject to harassment under Baath rule in the early 1970s, Kurds smuggled them out of the country to safety, she said.

Former Kurdish leader Mustafa Barzani visited Israel, as did his son, current president of the Iraqi Kurdistan region Massud Barzani, and many Israeli officials have visited Kurdistan, Bengio said.

"I don't know to what extent (Kurdistan) could be an ally since it would be pressed by all kinds of Arab factors, but at least it won't be hostile towards Israel. That's certain," said Bengio, author of the book "The Kurds of Iraq: Building a State Within a State."

"What's more important, it would be a buffer against extremist elements -- not just Iran, but also others," she said, noting IS and Iraqi Shiite militias.

A Kurdistan which emphasises "secularity, democracy, moderation and acceptance of the other" would be "a positive element in a region that is becoming increasingly extremist and unstable," Bengio said.

The US supports the current Kurdish autonomy in northern Iraq and relies on its forces in the war against the Islamic State group, but has urged the Kurds to call off the potentially "provocative and destabilising" independence referendum.

To Saar, the former minister, Israeli leader Netanyahu should "use our leverage in the US to strengthen the Kurds in a very crucial moment of their national struggle."

THE STANS
Yes or no? Independence referendum splits Iraqi Kurds
Arbil, Iraq (AFP) Sept 19, 2017
Iraqi Kurds may have long dreamed of founding their own state, but the independence referendum set for September 25 has also exposed divisions between their autonomous region's main cities. In Arbil, capital of the Kurdish Regional Government, the streets are currently teeming with red, white and green Kurdish flags. Some people have even resprayed their cars with the same colours and al ... read more

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