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NKorea readies 'provocative' rocket launch

Facts on NKorea's missile arsenal
+ North Korea, which has placed a long-range rocket on a launch pad in preparation for blast-off, has for decades now been developing missiles both for what it terms self-defence and as a lucrative export commodity.

+ A US counter-proliferation official told AFP the rocket appears to be a Taepodong-2 theoretically capable of reaching Alaska. Experts believe it will take at least three to four days to fuel it.

+ The hardline communist North has announced it will launch a communications satellite between April 4-8 as part of a peaceful space programme.

+ However, the United States and its allies say it is a pretext to test its longest-range missile, in defiance of a UN resolution.

+ North Korea began working in the late 1970s and early 1980s on a version of the Soviet Scud-B with a range of 300 kilometres (187 miles). It was tested in 1984 and deployment began later that decade.

+ Between 1987 and 1992, the North began developing a variant of the Scud-C (range 500 km), as well as the Rodong-1 (1,300 km), the Taepodong-1 (2,500 km), the Musudan-1 (3,000 km) and the Taepodong-2 (6,700 km).

+ It has also tested a solid-fuel missile called the KN-02 (120 km), a version of the Soviet SS-21 which is accurate and road-mobile.

+ The Scud-B, Scud-C and Rodong-1 have all been tested successfully.

+ The South Korean government's 2009 defence white paper said the North has completed deployment of the Musudan-1, but gave no numbers.

+ The missile has not yet been flight-tested, according to Daniel Pinkston of the International Crisis Group.

+ The first and only Taepodong-1 launch took place in August 1998 over Japan. The missile sparked alarm in Tokyo, but the third stage apparently exploded before it could place a small satellite into orbit, according to Pinkston.

+ In September 1999, amid improving relations with the United States, North Korea declared a moratorium on long-range missile tests. It ended this in March 2005, blaming the "hostile" policy of the George W. Bush administration.

+ The Taepodong-2 was first fired on July 5, 2006, along with six shorter-range missiles, but blew up after 40 seconds. The UN Security Council condemned the 2006 tests and imposed missile-related sanctions.

+ The North tested an atomic weapon in October 2006 but experts differ on whether it can manufacture a nuclear warhead. However, its missiles can deliver high-explosive and chemical warheads and possibly biological weapons.

+ The main threat at present comes from some 800 road-mobile missiles. Of these, about 600 of them are Scuds capable of hitting targets in South Korea, and possibly Japanese territory in some cases.

+ Another 200 Rodong-1 missiles could reach Tokyo.

+ North Korea is thought to have sold hundreds of ballistic missiles to Iran, Iraq, Syria, Pakistan and other countries over the past decade to earn foreign currency, according to a US Congressional Research Service report in 2007.

+ US Director of National Intelligence, Dennis Blair, reiterated in February that Pyongyang had sold missiles and associated materials to Iran and several other Middle East countries.

+ In December 2002, 15 Scuds made by North Korea were seized on a ship bound for Yemen.

+ The Congressional Research Service gave no overall figure for the value of that trade, but said that each of the intercepted Scuds was worth four million dollars.
by Staff Writers
Seoul (AFP) March 26, 2009
South Korea Thursday joined its US ally in calling for a United Nations response to North Korea's "provocative" rocket launch plan, as a US official said the missile has been placed on a launch pad.

The communist state reaffirmed it would launch a peaceful communications satellite and blasted "confrontational maniacs" in Seoul for their opposition.

The United States, South Korea and Japan insist that Pyongyang wants a pretext to test its longest-range missile, the Taepodong-2, which could theoretically reach Alaska.

But the North shows no signs of backing down from its launch, scheduled between April 4-8.

A US counter-proliferation official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, told AFP in Washington that a missile -- believed to be a Taepodong-2 -- has been moved to a launch pad.

Two stages were visible in satellite photos but the top was covered with a shroud supported by a crane, NBC television reported, citing US officials.

"We intend to raise this violation of the UN Security Council resolution, if it goes forward, in the UN," US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said Wednesday.

"This provocative action in violation of the United Nations mandate will not go unnoticed and there will be consequences."

The US and its allies say a satellite launch uses the same technology as a missile test and would breach Resolution 1718 passed in 2006, which orders the North to halt nuclear tests and ballistic missile launches.

A South Korean foreign ministry task force met Thursday to discuss counter-measures, said spokesman Moon Tae-Young.

"The government, in consultation with the UN Security Council members, plans to take this issue to the Security Council," he said.

Any launch "would constitute a serious threat and provocation to security on the Korean peninsula and to stability in Northeast Asia."

Intelligence sources told South Korea's Yonhap news agency it would take three to four days to fuel the missile at the Musudan-ri site on the northeast coast.

But they believed Pyongyang would wait till the dates it has given to international shipping and aviation bodies.

The North's missiles have particularly alarmed Japan since a Taepodong-1 overflew its territory in 1998. The first test of a longer-range Taepodong-2 in 2006 failed after 40 seconds.

Japan's security council will meet this week to prepare for the shooting down of any rocket which threatens to strike its territory, Prime Minister Taro Aso said Wednesday.

Sources quoted by Yonhap said two US warships and two from Japan -- all equipped with Aegis technology to track and destroy missiles -- are operating in the Sea of Japan (East Sea).

They said South Korea's first Aegis-class destroyer would join them.

North Korea says any attempt to shoot down its rocket would be an act of war.

It has also warned that six-party nuclear disarmament talks would collapse if new UN sanctions are imposed for the launch. The talks group the United States, Japan, Russia, the two Koreas and China.

Analysts say any new sanctions are likely to be opposed by China and possibly Russia, both veto-wielding Security Council members.

Unlike in 1998 and 2006, the North has given advance notice of its launch. It has told the UN civil aviation watchdog that the first booster will plunge into the Sea of Japan and the second into the Pacific.

On Thursday its Cabinet newspaper Minju Joson blasted Seoul.

"The Lee Myung-Bak group of traitors are showing themselves in their true colour as confrontational maniacs who spread malicious insults at whatever their brethren does," it said.

The North for the past year has been heaping vitriol on President Lee, who reversed his predecessors' policy of almost unconditional aid to Pyongyang.

Relations have grown more tense since the North in January scrapped all peace accords with the South.

earlier related report
Seoul calls NKorea's rocket launch "serious provocation"
South Korea Thursday described North Korea's planned rocket launch as a "serious challenge and provocation" to regional security, as a US official said the missile has been placed on a launch pad.

Defence ministry spokesman Won Tae-Jae declined to confirm the US report, saying Seoul would not comment on intelligence matters.

But he said the communist state is moving forward with preparations for the launch, which would constitute "a serious challenge and provocation" to the security of the Korean peninsula and Northeast Asia.

"North Korea's long-range rocket launch clearly violates UN Security council Resolution 1718. We strongly urge it to stop this immediately," Won said.

The hardline communist North has announced it will launch a communications satellite between April 4-8 as part of a peaceful space programme.

The United States, South Korea and Japan, say this is a pretext to test its longest-range missile the Taepodong-2, which could theoretically reach Alaska.

They say a launch for any reason would breach the resolution passed after Pyongyang's missile and nuclear tests in 2006.

In Washington, a US counter-proliferation official told AFP the rocket on the launch pad appears to be a Taepodong-2.

North Korea blasted Seoul's government for opposing the satellite launch.

"The Lee Myung-Bak group of traitors are showing themselves in their true colour as confrontational maniacs who spread malicious insults at whatever their brethren does," said Minju Joson, the newspaper of the North's Cabinet.

"It is a traitor's behavior that the Lee group clamours for 'resolute measures through international coordination.'"

The North for the past year has been heaping vitriol on President Lee, who reversed his predecessors' policy of almost unconditional aid to Pyongyang.

Cross-border relations have grown more tense since the North in January scrapped all peace accords with the South.

The defence ministry said it is monitoring launch preparations round the clock through a special situation room.

Sources quoted by Yonhap said two US warships and two from Japan -- all equipped with Aegis technology to track and destroy missiles -- are operating in the Sea of Japan (East Sea).

They said South Korea's first Aegis destroyer would join them.

Japan has said it may try to shoot down any missile threatening its territory.

Intelligence sources told the agency it would take three to four days to fuel the missile at the Musudan-ri site on the northeast coast.

But they believed Pyongyang would wait till the dates it has given to international shipping and aviation bodies.

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