Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Solar Energy News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Another lousy jobs report
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Jun 1, 2012


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

The U.S. economy added only 69,000 jobs in May -- about half of what is needed to keep up with natural population growth. The unemployment rate rose to 8.2 percent.

In the weakest recovery since the Great Depression, nearly the entire reduction in unemployment since October 2009 has been accomplished through a significant drop in the percentage of adults working or looking for work. Some of these folks returned to the labor market in May. Consequently, unemployment ticked up 1-10th of a percentage point.

Growth slowed to 1.9 percent in the first quarter from 3 percent the previous period, and was largely sustained by consumers taking on more car and student loans, business investments in equipment and software and some inventory build. The housing market is improving and that should lift second quarter residential construction a bit but, overall, the economy and jobs growth should remain too slower to genuinely dent unemployment.

The May jobs report indicates growth could be even slower in the second quarter and the economy is dangerously close to stalling and falling into recession.

Manufacturing added 13,000 jobs. Other big gainers were healthcare, wholesale trade, and transportation and warehousing.

Construction lost about 28,000 jobs and other big losers were leisure and hospitality and state and local governments.

In other sectors, jobs gains were weak or small numbers of jobs were lost.

Gains in manufacturing production haven't instigated stronger improvements in employment largely because so much of the growth is focused in high-value activity. Assembly work, outside the auto patch, remains handicapped by the exchange rate situation with the Chinese yuan.

Recent moves by China to further weaken its currency and to close its markets to stimulate its own flagging demand indicate matters will get worse without a substantive response from Washington. Also, concerns about health insurance costs, once Obamacare is fully implemented, are discouraging employers.

The economic crisis in Europe and mounting problems in China's housing and banking sectors continue to instigate worries among U.S. businesses about a second major recession and these discourage new hiring. The U.S. economy continues to expand albeit moderately but is quite vulnerable to shock waves from crises in European and Asia.

Factoring in those discouraged adults and others working part time for lack of full time opportunities, the unemployment rate is about 14.8 percent. Adding college graduates in low-skill positions, like counterwork at Starbucks, and the unemployment rate is likely closer to 18 percent.

Prospects for lowering those dreadful statistics remain slim. The economy must add 13 million jobs over the next three years -- 362,000 each month -- to bring unemployment down to 6 percent.

Growth in the range of 4-5 percent is needed to get unemployment down to 6 percent over the next several years. In 2011, the economy grew only 1.7 percent but that is expected to expand less than 2.5 percent in 2012.

Growth is weak and jobs are in jeopardy because temporary tax cuts, stimulus spending, large federal deficits, expensive-but-ineffective business regulations and costly healthcare mandates don't address structural problems holding back dynamic growth and jobs creation -- the huge trade deficit and dysfunctional energy policies.

Oil and trade with China account for nearly the entire $600 billion trade deficit. Dollars sent abroad that don't return to purchase U.S. exports, are lost purchasing power. Consequently, the U.S. economy is expanding at 2 percent a year instead of the 5 percent pace that is possible after emerging from a deep recession and with such high unemployment.

Without prompt efforts to produce more domestic oil, redress the trade imbalance with China, relax burdensome business regulations, and curb healthcare mandates and costs, the U.S. economy cannot grow and create enough jobs.

(Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and a widely published columnist.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Irish yes vote fails to dispel euro fears
Dublin, Ireland (UPI) Jun 1, 2012
Irish voters gave their approval to the European Union's increasingly controversial fiscal compact, pledging support for the government's austerity program, but business analysts said continuing eurozone troubles could still force Ireland to seek a bailout of its banks. The fiscal compact is a treaty-like commitment by EU members, except Britain and the Czech Republic, to put their fina ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
Nuisance seaweed found to produce compounds with biomedical potential

Maps of Miscanthus genome offer insight into grass evolution

Relative reference: Foxtail millet offers clues for assembling the switchgrass genome

Lawrence Livermore work may improve the efficiency of the biofuel production cycle

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Robotic jellyfish could one day patrol oceans, clean oil spills, and detect pollutants

Graphene-control cutting using an atomic force microscope-based nanorobot

Rescue robot tested at So. Calif. beach

DLR presents innovations in robotics at AUTOMATICA 2012

POLITICAL ECONOMY
US slaps duties on Chinese wind towers

Obama pushes for wind power tax credit

US DoI Approves Ocotillo Express Wind Project

Opening Day Draws Close for Janneby Wind Testing Site

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Volkswagen targets China in group shakeup

Japan's vehicle output soars 174% in April

Japan's April auto output soars in year after quake

Ferrari recalls 56 cars in China: state media

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Court blocks Shell, BASF payment in Brazil pollution case

OAS dragged into Argentina-Falklands row

Sudan, SSudan defence ministers to discuss border security

China warns US against 'making waves' in disputed sea

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China could restart nuclear power programme

Bangladesh passes nuclear energy regulatory bill

South Korean nuclear engineers charged with cover-up

Russian-made metal used at Bulgaria nuclear plant meets quality standards

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Energy efficiency for California buildings

German electric grid need pegged at $25B

Indonesia to tap its geothermal supply

Greener, More Efficient Lighting

POLITICAL ECONOMY
New study reports rise in community land rights in tropical forests; most laws unenforced

Greenpeace says KFC boxes destroy Indonesia forests

Beetle-infested Pine Trees Contribute to Air Pollution and Haze in Forests

Beetle-infested pine trees contribute more to air pollution and haze in forests




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement