Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Solar Energy News .




POLITICAL ECONOMY
Outside View: Unemployment rises
by Peter Morici
College Park, Md. (UPI) Aug 3, 2012


disclaimer: image is for illustration purposes only

The U.S. economy added 163,000 jobs in July. Although an improvement over the first quarter, the ranks of the unemployed swelled another 45,000.

The unemployment rate rose to 8.3 percent even as 348,000 workers quit looking for work and were no longer counted in the official jobless tally.

In the weakest recovery since the Great Depression, nearly the entire reduction in unemployment since October 2009 has been accomplished through a significant drop in the percentage of adults participating in the labor force -- either working or looking for work.

Growth slowed to 1.5 percent in the second quarter as consumers pulled back and the trade deficit on oil and with China continued to drag on demand. The outlook for the second half of the year isn't much better. Car sales are stronger than a year ago but aren't likely to improve much further and housing prices have risen in recent months but on weak volumes.

The July jobs report indicates growth remains slow in the third quarter -- likely in the range of 2.5 percent.

Job gains were fairly evenly spread. Manufacturing added 24,000 jobs. Other big gainers included education, healthcare, professional services, leisure and hospitality, retail and wholesale trade and information and communications.

Construction lost 1,000 jobs and federal, state and local governments shed 9,000.

Gains in manufacturing production haven't instigated stronger improvements in employment largely because so much of the growth is focused in high-value activity. Assembly work, outside the auto patch, remains handicapped by the exchange rate situation with the Chinese yuan.

Recent moves by China to further weaken its currency and to close its markets to stimulate its own flagging demand indicate matters will get worse without a substantive response from Washington.

Also, concerns about health insurance costs, once ObamaCare is fully implemented, are discouraging employers. Mandated services raise costs and regardless of their merits, make adding employees more expensive at a time of great stress for most businesses.

The financial crisis in Europe and mounting problems in China's economy worry U.S. businesses about a second major recession and discourage new hiring. The U.S. economy continues to expand at a torturously slow pace and is quite vulnerable to shock waves from crises in Europe and Asia.

Factoring in those discouraged adults and others working part time for lack of full time opportunities, the unemployment rate is 15 percent.

Prospects for substantially lowering the headline unemployment rate are slim because so many folks who left the labor force would likely return if economic conditions improved.

The economy would have to add about 13.3 million jobs over the next three years -- about 370,000 each month -- to bring unemployment down to 6 percent. Growth in the range of 4-5 percent is necessary to accomplish that.

Growth is weak and jobs are in jeopardy because temporary tax cuts, stimulus spending, large federal deficits, expensive but ineffective business regulations and costly healthcare mandates don't address structural problems holding back dynamic growth and jobs creation -- the huge trade deficit and dysfunctional energy policies.

Oil and trade with China account for nearly the entire $600 billion trade deficit. Dollars sent abroad that don't return to purchase U.S. exports are lost purchasing power. Consequently, the U.S. economy is expanding at 2 percent a year instead of the 5 percent pace that is possible after emerging from a deep recession and with such high unemployment.

Without prompt efforts to produce more domestic oil, redress the trade imbalance with China, relax burdensome business regulations, and curb healthcare mandates and costs, the U.S. economy cannot grow and create enough jobs.

(Peter Morici is an economist and professor at the Smith School of Business, University of Maryland School, and a widely published columnist.)

(United Press International's "Outside View" commentaries are written by outside contributors who specialize in a variety of important issues. The views expressed do not necessarily reflect those of United Press International. In the interests of creating an open forum, original submissions are invited.)

.


Related Links
The Economy






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








POLITICAL ECONOMY
Sony highlights Japan electronics firms' woes
Tokyo (AFP) Aug 2, 2012
Sony on Thursday reported a widening quarterly loss and trimmed its profit forecast for the year, again underscoring the challenges faced by Japan's troubled electronics giants. Hammered by giant losses, particularly in the television business, the sector has been struggling with a strong yen, falling prices, high labour costs and competition from foreign rivals such as South Korea's Samsung ... read more


POLITICAL ECONOMY
German National Academy of Sciences issues a critical statement on the use of bioenergy

U.S, Australian navies focus on new fuels

Strategies to improve renewable energy feedstocks

Brazil to build first algae-based biofuel plant

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Dextrous robotic hand gets thumbs up

The first robot that mimics the water striders' jumping abilities

Insect-like robot can walk, leap on water

NRL Brings Inertia of Space to Robotics Research

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Wales wind power line plans draw protests

Offshore use of vertical-axis wind turbines gets closer look

SeaRoc to provide full installation services on Narec's Offshore Anemometry Hub

Italian police seize giant wind farm in mafia probe

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Poll: Many think in-car technology a risk

Toyota says quarterly profit skyrockets to $3.71 bn

Pedestrianised Left Bank could spell Paris logjam: report

Toyota recalls 600,000 vehicles in Europe

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Is the Eurozone Doomed? An Interview with Mike Shedlock

Investigations of Shell's Nigeria spills a 'fiasco': Amnesty

Breaking the barriers for low-cost energy storage

Geothermal System Installed at Goddard's Building 25

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Australia inks UAE nuclear deal

TEPCO chief vows cost cuts amid $3.68 bn loss

TEPCO receives $12.8 billion public bailout

EnBW says won't sue Germany over nuclear exit

POLITICAL ECONOMY
China can learn from India's blackouts?

Scottish firth dubbed marine energy park

EDF first-half profits up on hydro, renewables

Hunter-gatherers, Westerners use same amount of energy, contrary to theory

POLITICAL ECONOMY
Turkmenistan to plant huge forest in Aral Sea region

Taking Stock Of Georgia State Forests

Tropical arks reach tipping point

Forest carbon monitoring breakthrough in Colombia




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA Portal Reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement,agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement