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NUKEWARS
Putin nuclear threats 'extremely dangerous', 'blackmail': ICAN
By Nina LARSON
Geneva (AFP) March 9, 2022

Russian President Vladimir Putin is using nuclear "blackmail" to keep the international community from interfering in his Ukraine invasion, the head of the Nobel prize-winning group ICAN said.

"This is one of the scariest moments really when it comes to nuclear weapons," Beatrice Fihn, who leads the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons, told AFP in an interview Tuesday.

The 40-year-old Swede, who has spearheaded the group's global efforts to ban the weapons of mass destruction since 2013, said she had never in her lifetime seen the nuclear threat level so high.

"It is incredibly worrying and overwhelming."

Just days after Russia launched its full-scale invasion of its pro-Western neighbour on February 24, Putin ordered his country's nuclear forces to be put on high alert, sparking global alarm.

Addressing the US Congress on Tuesday, Avril Haines, US Director of National Intelligence, described Putin's move as "extremely unusual".

"We have not seen a public announcement from the Russians regarding a heightened nuclear alert status since the 1960s," she pointed out.

Fihn described the move as "extremely dangerous".

"Not only is this meant to instil fear in the whole world; it's also meant to scare anyone from helping in Ukraine."

- 'Everyone is terrified' -

Countries during the Cold War argued that large nuclear arsenals served as deterrents, helping avoid conflict. Now Moscow was using its arsenal to enable conflict, she said.

"Russia is using it to blackmail almost, to be able to invade Ukraine, and nobody can interfere."

The nuclear threat "is now being used in an extremely malicious and evil way, to... enable an illegal invasion of a country that doesn't have nuclear weapons."

Would Putin actually use nuclear weapons? Fihn stressed she still did not think it was likely.

But "it is not ruled out", she said. "We are starting to worry that it might happen."

But even if there is no plan to actually use such weapons, with tensions soaring "misunderstandings can escalate quickly and we could stumble into nuclear use by accident", she warned.

Fihn said she had received numerous messages from people asking how to speak to their children about the threat.

"Everyone is terrified right now," she said, acknowledging that the situation was getting to her too.

"I spent the last decade talking about what happens when a nuclear weapon is used, what happens to bodies, what happens to cities," she said.

"I am finding it very difficult to talk about it now."

- 'Wake-up call' -

But Fihn hopes the current crisis will serve as a wake-up call that will push countries towards nuclear disarmament.

"If we survive this, we're not going to be so lucky all the time," she said.

"We cannot let countries do this to other countries anymore, (just) because they have nuclear weapons."

ICAN won the 2017 Nobel Peace Price for its key role in drafting the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons, which took effect a year ago.

Fifty-nine countries have ratified the treaty, and more have signed it.

Fihn pointed out that the treaty bans the kinds of nuclear threats being made by Russia, which is not a party to it. Nor are any of the states known to possess nuclear weapons.

But the current crisis has sparked growing interest in the treaty, she said.

"I feel like there's an opening now that we can really start working towards nuclear disarmament."

Once the conflict ends, she said, Russia should not be permitted to maintain its current nuclear arsenal.

"They're going to have to do something... in order to be able to be let back into the international community again, and nuclear disarmament should be that."


Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com


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NUKEWARS
High-risk Russian strategy targets Ukraine's nuclear plants
Paris (AFP) March 8, 2022
Russia is directly targeting Ukraine's nuclear facilities in a strategy to undermine Ukrainian resistance to the Russian invasion but the tactic carries grave risks, observers say. After advancing Russian forces seized Ukraine's defunct nuclear plant at Chernobyl and the still-operational reactors at Zaporizhzhia, their sights could be on a third facility, Konstantinovka, in the south. French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday a key priority of the West was to avoid "catastrophes" with Ukrai ... read more

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