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WAR REPORT
Rockets and naval commandos boost Hamas arsenal
by Staff Writers
London (AFP) July 09, 2014


2 Gaza rockets hit near Israel nuclear reactor: army
Jerusalem (AFP) July 09, 2014 - Two rockets fired by Gaza militants Wednesday hit near the southern town of Dimona where Israel has a nuclear reactor, the military said on Twitter.

"A few minutes ago, Palestinian terrorists in Gaza fired three rockets at Dimona. Two fell in open areas; Iron Dome intercepted the other," it said referring to the Israeli missile defence system.

The Ezzedine Al-Qassam Brigades, the military wing of the Gaza-based Hamas, said in a statement it "launched three M75 rockets at Dimona," referring to the Gaza-produced rockets with a range of about 80 kilometres (50 miles).

Israel has two nuclear reactors, one at Dimona in the Negev desert, and the other at its nuclear research facility at Nahal Sorek, west of Jerusalem.

The Jewish state is widely believed to have around 200 nuclear warheads, but has a policy of neither confirming nor denying that, a stance which it calls "nuclear ambiguity".

Israeli scientists and politicians have called for the closure of the 50-year-old Dimona plant, saying its age had increased the risk of accidents.

Egyptian soldier killed in Sinai bombing
Cairo (AFP) July 09, 2014 - An Egyptian soldier was killed Wednesday when a roadside bomb targeted an armoured vehicle in the restive Sinai Peninsula, medical and security officials said.

Four soldiers were also wounded in the attack near the north Sinai capital of El-Arish, the officials said.

Security forces are struggling to quell an Islamist insurgency that has killed scores of soldiers and policemen in the peninsula bordering Israel and the Palestinian Gaza Strip.

The attacks surged after the military overthrew Islamist president Mohamed Morsi last year, and the militants extended their reach to the Egyptian mainland with a series of bombings.

Rockets capable of hitting deeper into Israel than ever before and naval commandos launching a beachhead assault show that Hamas has increased its capabilities with help from Iran and Syria, analysts said Wednesday.

The last Israeli offensive against Gaza was meant to have degraded the Palestinian militant group's capabilities but less than two years later, Hamas is firing new longer-range projectiles, they said.

An "unprecedented" attack by four Hamas militants who emerged from the sea to attack an Israeli military base shows the group is also trying to break the naval blockade of the coastal enclave.

"Hamas were very badly damaged by the Israeli defence forces back in 2012, but since that time they have been re-equipped significantly by Iran and also by weapons from Syria," Colonel Richard Kemp, of the Royal United Services Institute think-tank in London, told AFP.

The main weapon employed by Hamas and their armed wing, the Ezzedine Al-Qassam Brigades, is an arsenal of unguided rockets.

Hamas was believed to have had 10,000 rockets before the 2012 confrontation, and it is unclear how many are left, but Firas Abi Ali of analysts Country Risk IHS said they still likely had "thousands".

As in 2012, they include Iranian-made Fajr-5 missiles with a range of 75 kilometres (46 miles) and Gaza-built M75 rockets with a range of 80 kilometres -- both of which can reach Jerusalem and Tel Aviv.

But Hamas has since acquired Syrian M-302 rockets which have a range of up to 160 kilometres.

On Tuesday, one of these hit the town of Hadera, 116 kilometres north of Gaza, while on Wednesday Israeli media reported that two had crashed into the sea near the port of Haifa, 165 kilometres north of Gaza, which if confirmed would be the furthest a rocket from Gaza has ever travelled.

Crude Qassam rockets have a range of four to 15 kilometres.

The rockets are all unguided but the sheer intensity of the barrages is aimed at "overwhelming" Israel's Iron Dome missile defence system, said Ali.

"Hamas has been able to, over the last couple of years, increase not just the number of rockets that it has, but the frequency of its rocket fire," he told AFP.

- Hamas aiming for ground war -

Most of the rockets are believed to have been smuggled through tunnels into Gaza but others came in by sea while still more were being made in the strip itself.

Meanwhile the seaborne Hamas commando attack was a further surprise.

"This is unprecedented," said Ali.

"This suggests sophisticated training, sophisticated planning, good intelligence on the Israelis and the ability to maintain tactical surprise."

Iranian equipment or training was likely involved, added Kemp.

Figures for Hamas's military strength are also unclear, but the International Institute of Strategic Studies think-tank's Military Balance 2014 assessment said the Al-Qassam brigades had around 10,000 members while Hamas internal security groupings number around 12,000.

Analysts said Hamas and its backers had a clear aim for their military build-up: to drag Israel into a ground war.

"The escalation that Hamas has engaged in seems to be intended to draw Israel into a ground offensive in Gaza, in which Hamas hopes that it can inflict a heavy number of casualties," Ali said.

Israeli forces entering Gaza would face likely attack by Hamas anti-tank weapons, including Kornet missiles used by Hezbollah in the 2006 Lebanon war, and improvised explosive devices, analysts said.

There would also be a possibility of capturing Israeli soldiers for prisoner swaps.

Meanwhile the wider Middle East situation had a bearing on the Gaza build-up, analysts said.

Iran and Hamas fell out over Tehran's support for President Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria but there had been a recent "rapprochement", especially after Hamas's allies the Muslim Brotherhood were driven out of power in Egypt last year, said Kemp.

Syria meanwhile remains a source for the weaponry even if some of the advice is from Iran.

Israel would also be closely watching for any potential future links between Hamas and the Islamic State jihadist group, which has conquered a swathe of Iraq and Syria.

"There are certainly groups linked to the Islamic State present in Gaza," said Kemp.

.


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