Subscribe free to our newsletters via your
. Solar Energy News .




NUKEWARS
The new MAD: Mutual Assured Disruption
by Harlan Ullman, Upi Arnaud De Borchgrave Distinguished Columnist
Washington DC (UPI) Jul 12, 2015


During the Cold War, a thermonuclear conflict between East and West would have eviscerated much of society on both sides of the Atlantic. This delicate balance of terror was labeled Mutual Assured Destruction, commonly known as MAD. The acronym had obvious double meaning. Committing national suicide in a thermonuclear exchange was a clear-cut case of insanity on the part of Washington and Moscow. Unfortunately, the simplistic and negative use of the term MAD was misleading as the Cold War had far more complicated geostrategic and ideological sides to it.

Today, the term MAD can be reused and made more relevant to the current real and potential dangers to society at large. MAD now should be redefined properly to mean Mutual Assured Disruption as it applies to societies, individuals and standards of living. And this disruption can flow from acts of man and nature.

Disruption has always been present in the human condition. So what has intensified its power today? The answer rests in the combination of globalization and the diffusion of all forms of power, accelerated by the information and cyber revolutions encapsulated by the smartphone. These forces have now linked virtually all regions of the world in multi-dimensional forms of interconnectivity and interdependence. This interconnectivity and interdependence in a rapidly advancing technologically powered world are also creating, along with great opportunities, new fragilities and vulnerabilities. These fragilities and vulnerabilities are magnifying and distorting the effects of disruption.

As society embraces this interconnectivity, it also must accept the new costs imposed by heightened fragility and vulnerability. A few examples make this case. Last week in the U.S., the New York Stock Exchange went offline for several hours because of a computer "glitch." The United Airlines reservation system crashed shutting down all of its flights for much of a day. The impact was disruptive to clients, consumers and investors. Indeed, had these disruptions been traced to "hackers," imagine the response following the looting of some twenty million files of Americans from the Office of Personnel Management presumably to foreign hackers.

Meanwhile, the spread of the Islamic State beyond Syria and Iraq to Afghanistan reinforces the dangers of terror. Yet, for most people in the West and despite the horrors of September 11th in America and July 7th in London, the real impact of terror is disruption. A single transit through airport security shows how travel has been disrupted. And the tension between public safety and security and individual freedom is a further manifestation of these disruptive forces.

Acts of nature too are highly disruptive from freakish weather patterns in America with the West Coast in conditions of drought and much of the rest of the country literally awash in floods to the threat of pandemics such as Ebola. No doubt disruption could become destructive if cyber attacks wreaked huge physical damage by shutting down electrical power grids; terrorist-deployed weapons of mass destruction; and pandemics such as the Black Plague of the middle ages or the Spanish flu following World War I infected massive populations.

This shift from the nuclear driven MAD of the Cold War to today's new MAD by no means diminishes state against state conflict or war and violence in all forms. For example, the main numerical military advantage Russia holds over the West is short range or theater nuclear weapons that can be used to threaten or intimidate Europe. However, the increasing fragility and vulnerability of society because of dependence on new technologies and global interconnectivity must make minimizing disruption a new national security priority.

One can argue that there may be little new here. The collapse of the Chinese stock market last week parallels what happened in 1929, 1987 and 2008 here. And every great invention has certain downsides. The combustion engine led to greater pollution and dependence on oil as well as the side effect of many millions of deaths in traffic accidents. Penicillin has ultimately created drug resistant disease. Fortunately, progress has vastly outweighed the negative consequences.

What is needed is recognition and understanding of the power of disruption and the importance of setting in place policies and actions to minimize societal vulnerabilities and fragilities. A good start is modernizing our crumbling infrastructure. A second is taking on the cyber challenges with this appreciation of minimizing disruption. And a third is not transposing the likelihood of physical destruction across the entire spectrum of disruptions to every day life.

But whether politicians and the public will recognize this shift, from Cold War MAD to a globalized world's vulnerability and fragility posed by the new MAD of disruption, is perhaps one of the most under-publicized national security questions of our time.

_________________________________________________________________

Harlan Ullman is UPI's Arnaud de Borchgrave Distinguished Columnist as well as Chairman of the Killowen Group that advises leaders of government and business and Senior Advisor at both Washington D.C.'s Atlantic Council and Business Executives for National Security. His latest book is A Handful of Bullets: How the Murder of Archduke Franz Ferdinand Still Menaces the Peace.


Thanks for being here;
We need your help. The SpaceDaily news network continues to grow but revenues have never been harder to maintain.

With the rise of Ad Blockers, and Facebook - our traditional revenue sources via quality network advertising continues to decline. And unlike so many other news sites, we don't have a paywall - with those annoying usernames and passwords.

Our news coverage takes time and effort to publish 365 days a year.

If you find our news sites informative and useful then please consider becoming a regular supporter or for now make a one off contribution.
SpaceDaily Contributor
$5 Billed Once


credit card or paypal
SpaceDaily Monthly Supporter
$5 Billed Monthly


paypal only


.


Related Links
Learn about nuclear weapons doctrine and defense at SpaceWar.com
Learn about missile defense at SpaceWar.com
All about missiles at SpaceWar.com
Learn about the Superpowers of the 21st Century at SpaceWar.com






Comment on this article via your Facebook, Yahoo, AOL, Hotmail login.

Share this article via these popular social media networks
del.icio.usdel.icio.us DiggDigg RedditReddit GoogleGoogle








NUKEWARS
Nuclear agreement a 'hard sell' to US Congress
Washington (AFP) July 12, 2015
A top US Republican said a potential historic nuclear deal with Iran would be a "hard sell" in Congress, as talks neared their final hour in Vienna on Sunday. "It appears as if the administration's approach to this was to reach whatever agreement the Iranians are willing to enter into," US Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said in an interview broadcast on "Fox News Sunday." "I thin ... read more


NUKEWARS
Tropical peatland carbon losses from oil palm plantations may be underestimated

How do biofuel perennials affect the water cycle?

Scientists study ways to integrate biofuels and food crops on farms

Biogas to biomethane by water absorption column at low pressure and temps

NUKEWARS
Elon Musk funds major research grants on dangers of artificial intelligence

Advances in Robots Needed to Explore Icy Moons

Seahorse tails could inspire new generation of robots

Engineers develop micro-tentacles so tiny robots can handle delicate objects

NUKEWARS
Can you actually hear 'inaudible' sound?

Con Edison Development Continues to Build Its Wind Power Portfolio

Green shoots for Aussie renewables as Ararat Wind Farm moves ahead

Viaducts with wind turbines, the new renewable energy source

NUKEWARS
In Mexico City, once beloved 'Beetle' car nearly extinct

China's Uber-style taxi app raises $2 bn

A learning method for energy optimization of the plug-in hybrid electric bus

Physical study may give boost to hydrogen cars

NUKEWARS
Distributed technique for power 'scheduling' advances smart grid concept

Single-catalyst water splitter produces clean-burning hydrogen 24/7

Engineers break power and distance barriers for fiber optic comms

Can heat be controlled as waves?

NUKEWARS
Russia Will Start Selling Enriched Uranium to Europe

Neutrons find 'missing' magnetism of plutonium

Putin, Zuma consider development of South African nuclear energy priority

Japan reactor refuelled for restart, despite opposition

NUKEWARS
Climate: EU parliament backs reform of carbon market

Scientists issue carbon price call to curb climate change

Fossil fuels, low-carbon plans, in tug-of-war

New formula expected to spur advances in clean energy generation

NUKEWARS
Kidnappers free 12 loggers in Senegal's Casamance: army

Timber and construction, a well-matched couple

Rumors of southern pine deaths have been exaggerated

Can pollution help trees fight infection?




The content herein, unless otherwise known to be public domain, are Copyright 1995-2014 - Space Media Network. All websites are published in Australia and are solely subject to Australian law and governed by Fair Use principals for news reporting and research purposes. AFP, UPI and IANS news wire stories are copyright Agence France-Presse, United Press International and Indo-Asia News Service. ESA news reports are copyright European Space Agency. All NASA sourced material is public domain. Additional copyrights may apply in whole or part to other bona fide parties. Advertising does not imply endorsement, agreement or approval of any opinions, statements or information provided by Space Media Network on any Web page published or hosted by Space Media Network. Privacy Statement All images and articles appearing on Space Media Network have been edited or digitally altered in some way. Any requests to remove copyright material will be acted upon in a timely and appropriate manner. Any attempt to extort money from Space Media Network will be ignored and reported to Australian Law Enforcement Agencies as a potential case of financial fraud involving the use of a telephonic carriage device or postal service.