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CLIMATE SCIENCE
US landfill waste, methane undercounted: climate study
By Mariette LE ROUX
Paris (AFP) Sept 21, 2015


UN climate chief presses speedy action after pledges
United Nations, United States (AFP) Sept 21, 2015 - The UN climate chief urged nations Monday to ensure the speed of future efforts, saying the planet was on course for warming of a still-dangerous three degrees Celsius.

With the clock ticking to a year-end UN conference in Paris aimed at sealing a global climate agreement, nations have been submitting plans on how they will curb emissions or take other action after 2020.

Climate chief Christiana Figueres repeated her warning that the plans would not succeed in limiting a temperature rise to two degrees (3.6 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial levels, a UN-blessed goal that scientists say will spare the planet the worst consequences of warming.

But Figueres, executive secretary of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change, said that there has been "improvement" since nations started making plans, of which she said at least 64 have been sent in.

The action plans "have actually brought the trajectory from where we were a few years ago -- which was trending toward four to five degrees," she told reporters at the UN headquarters.

"We're now down into the three-degrees range," she said.

Figueres said that the trajectory showed that countries needed to focus for the Paris meeting on the timing of future actions, and also to fill a shortage in funding to poor countries expected to be hit hardest by droughts and other effects of climate change.

"The timing of this is fundamental. Even if we're able to get to zero net, which is restoring the ecological balance, if we do it too late, we're not protecting the most vulnerable," she said.

Figueres was speaking at the announcement of awards by the UN Development Program to 21 initiatives by indigenous people credited with fighting climate change or otherwise protecting nature.

Actor and activist Alec Baldwin said that the efforts showed how local communities, many facing tough odds, can help achieve the global goal of fighting climate change.

"We recognize that Paris is not mission impossible; it is mission critical," he said.

The winners of the Equator Prize, which will each reach receive $10,000 and visit Paris for the UN conference, included a group of Kayapo indigenous people in Brazil who used video cameras to document illegal logging on some 2.5 million hectares (6.2 million acres) of forest.

Other recipients included the Yunnan Green Watershed Management Research and Promotion Center in China that improved water access following a dam project and several preservation groups in Indonesia.

The volume of waste in landfills, a major source of the potent greenhouse gas methane, was grossly underestimated in the United States in 2012, researchers said Monday.

Some 262 million tonnes of garbage -- more than double the national estimate by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA)of 122 million tonnes -- was dumped in landfills that year, scientists wrote in the journal Nature Climate Change.

This suggested that methane emissions from the decomposition of municipal waste at these dumps were also undercounted.

The trio of US-based environmental scientists examined data gathered under domestic regulations requiring landfills to report on the volume of rubbish dumped and gas collected at landfills.

They used a different methodology than the EPA, and claimed their estimate was the "most accurate for the US so far".

Landfills, they wrote, represent the third-largest, man-made source of methane in the United States -- about 18 percent of domestic emissions.

Methane lives for a shorter time in the atmosphere than carbon dioxide (CO2), the most abundant greenhouse gas (GHG), but traps far more of the heat radiated from Earth's surface.

Capture and combustion of landfill gas (LFG), is a crucial part of the national strategy for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

About 91 percent of landfill emissions in the United States in 2012 came from open dumps still actively accepting new waste -- much less efficient at capturing gas than sites which had already been covered up, said the team.

They also calculated that the average rate of landfill waste disposal was increasing at a rate of about 0.3 percent per year.

- Vicious circle -

"These results demonstrate the clear need to target open landfills to achieve significant near-term methane emission reductions," wrote the team.

In lower- and lower-middle-income developing nations, waste generation is expected to increase by 185 percent and 158 percent respectively by 2025, they added.

And an underestimate in the United States raised the spectre of similar miscalculations in the rest of the world.

"A high reliance on landfilling has been observed in the EU (European Union) and in developing nations, similar to the US," wrote the researchers.

"Improving the collection of LFG at open landfills, must be a target for policymakers, researchers and practitioners to achieve near-term GHG emission reductions in the waste sector."

In a separate study published by the same journal, researchers said greenhouse gas emissions from thawing Arctic permafrost may result in an additional $43 trillion (38 trillion euros) in costs by the year 2200.

A team used computer models to make a long-term forecast of the impacts of climate change, and the cost of measures to abate and adapt to it.

Permafrost -- perennially frozen ground covering about a quarter of exposed land in the northern hemisphere -- contains an estimated 1.7 trillion tonnes of carbon in the form of frozen organic matter, which releases carbon dioxide and methane as it decomposes.

As the planet warms, more permafrost thaws to release more greenhouse gases, thus feeding into a vicious climate circle.


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